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USDCHF Analysis
| Performance after Thursday | |||||
| Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
| Thursday | -0.54% | -47.6 Pips | ![]() |
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| Week to-date | -1.29% | -114.2 Pips | ![]() |
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| August | -0.54% | -47.2 Pips | ![]() |
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Upcoming key events (London Time)
Fri 07:30 AM CHF CPI Inflation Rate (12-mth)
Fri 01:30 PM USD Nonfarm Payroll Employment
Fri 01:30 PM USD Average Hourly Earnings (1-mth)
Fri 01:30 PM USD Average Hourly Earnings (12-mth)
What happened lately
🇺🇸 The Q2 flash estimate for U.S. unit labor costs dropped to 0.9%, down from 4% in Q1. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
🇺🇸 U.S. Nonfarm Business Labor Productivity in Q2 flash estimate rose to 2.3%, compared to the previous figure of 0.2% in Q1. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
🇺🇸 In the week ending 27 July, U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims rose to 249K compared to previous figure 235K Source: Department of Labor
🇺🇸 U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision (Federal Funds Rate) unchanged at 5.5% compared to previous rate 5.5% Source: Federal Reserve
🇺🇸 U.S. Pending Home Sales (1-mth) in June rose to 4.8%, compared to the revised May figure of -1.9%, up from the initial -2.1%.
U.S. Pending Home Sales (1-mth) in June increased to 4.8%, up from the revised May figure of -1.9%, which was initially reported as -2.1%.
🇺🇸 In July, the U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index fell to 45.3 points from 47.4 points in June.
🇺🇸 The U.S. Employment Cost Index (ECI) in Q2 decreased to 0.9% from the previous figure of 1.2% in Q1. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
🇨🇭 The Switzerland ZEW Survey – Expectations in July dropped to 9.4 points from the previous figure of 17.5 points in June. Source: ZEW
Latest from X (Twitter)
What can we expect from USDCHF today?
USDCHF on Thursday dropped -0.54% to 0.87288. Price is below 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is falling.
Updated daily direction for USDCHF looks bearish as the pair posted lower in Thursday trading session.
Looking ahead for the day, immediate support level is at S1 0.87057 with break below could see further selling pressure towards S2 at 0.86825. To the upside, with the current momentum bearish, we prefer to look at breakout of the recent daily high of 0.87830 as a potential indicator of buying interest. Failure to break the resistance level would continue to echo bearish sentiment. A close below 0.87212 would indicate selling pressure.
For the week to-date, take note that USDCHF is bearish as the pair posted lower by -1.29%.
Key levels to watch out:
| R3 | 0.88293 |
| R2 | 0.88061 |
| R1 | 0.87675 |
| Daily Pivot | 0.87443 |
| S1 | 0.87057 |
| S2 | 0.86825 |
| S3 | 0.86439 |
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