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USDCHF Analysis
| Performance after Thursday | |||||
| Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
| Thursday | -0.61% | -53.5 Pips | ![]() |
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| Week to-date | -0.41% | -36.4 Pips | ![]() |
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| December | -0.45% | -39.5 Pips | ![]() |
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Upcoming key events (London Time)
Fri 01:30 PM USD Nonfarm Payroll Employment
What happened lately
In the United States, the latest economic data presents mixed signals regarding employment and manufacturing activities. According to the Department of Labor, initial unemployment insurance claims slightly rose to 224,000 for the week ending November 30th, up from a revised 215,000 in the previous week. This increase in unemployment claims may indicate some emerging softness in the labor market or seasonal adjustments during the holiday period. Meanwhile, the Census Bureau reported an increase in new orders for manufactured goods by 0.2% in October, following a revised decline of 0.2% in September. This suggests a modest rebound in manufacturing activity, indicating underlying resilience despite broader economic uncertainties.
The mixed data from the United States influences the USDCHF currency pair, which fell by 0.61% to 0.87839 on Thursday. A rise in unemployment claims often points to potential economic weakening, leading to reduced confidence in the U.S. economy, thereby exerting downward pressure on the U.S. dollar. On the other hand, an increase in manufacturing orders contributes positively, but this impact was overshadowed by concerns over employment data. Traders are carefully assessing these figures in the context of broader global economic dynamics and the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payroll employment report, which could provide further direction for the U.S. dollar’s movement against the Swiss franc.
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What can we expect from USDCHF today?
USDCHF on Thursday dropped -0.61% to 0.87839. Price is below 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is falling.
Updated daily direction for USDCHF looks bearish as the pair posted lower in Thursday trading session.
Looking ahead for the day, immediate support level is at S1 0.87563 with break below could see further selling pressure towards S2 at 0.87288. To the upside, with the current momentum bearish, we prefer to look at breakout of the recent daily high of 0.88532 as a potential indicator of buying interest. Failure to break the resistance level would continue to echo bearish sentiment. A close below 0.87772 would indicate selling pressure.
For the week to-date, take note that USDCHF is bearish as the pair posted lower by -0.41%.
Key levels to watch out:
| R3 | 0.89083 |
| R2 | 0.88808 |
| R1 | 0.88323 |
| Daily Pivot | 0.88048 |
| S1 | 0.87563 |
| S2 | 0.87288 |
| S3 | 0.86803 |
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