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AUDUSD Analysis
| Performance after Wednesday | |||||
| Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
| Wednesday | 0.21% | 13.8 Pips | ![]() |
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| Week to-date | 0.5% | 32 Pips | ![]() |
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| May | 0.5% | 32.1 Pips | ![]() |
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Upcoming key events (London Time)
No major events for the day.
What happened lately
The Reserve Bank of Australia has decided to cut the Cash Rate Target from 4.1% to 3.85%. This move indicates a shift towards a more accommodative monetary policy, aiming to stimulate economic growth by making borrowing cheaper. This reduction marks a strategic pivot by the central bank, likely in response to concerns about slower economic activity or subdued inflation pressures. By lowering the interest rates, the RBA is attempting to enhance consumer spending and business investment, which are critical components for economic expansion. The absence of any major economic events scheduled for the day suggests that the market attention will predominantly focus on the implications of this rate change and any forward guidance from the central bank.
For the AUDUSD currency pair, the recent rise of 0.21% to 0.64337 seems to indicate some positive sentiment or reaction occurring within the market post-announcement. The reduction in interest rates may typically weaken a currency because it suggests a lower return on investments denominated in that currency. However, the modest appreciation of the AUD could be attributed to other factors, possibly confidence in the potential economic recovery triggered by the RBA’s new policy or anticipations of further economic data. In the short term, currency pairs can be influenced by market speculations and sentiment, reflecting immediate reactions to policy shifts. In a broader sense, if this rate cut effectively boosts domestic economic activity, it could eventually lead to a stronger Australian economy, which might positively influence the AUD in the future.
Latest from X (Twitter)
Tweets by Australian Bureau of Statistics
What can we expect from AUDUSD today?
AUDUSD on Wednesday rose 0.21% to 0.64337. Price is above 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is falling.
Updated daily direction for AUDUSD looks mixed as the pair is likely to consolidate above 0.6411 (S1).
Looking ahead today, to see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of last daily high of 0.64693 or trades above daily pivot 0.64402. Break above could target R1 at 0.64628. While to the downside, we are looking at 0.6411 (S1) and daily low of 0.64175 as support levels. AUDUSD need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A break above 0.64693 may suggest continuation after recent positive movement.
For the week to-date, take note that AUDUSD is mixed as compared to the prior week.
Key levels to watch out:
| R3 | 0.65146 |
| R2 | 0.6492 |
| R1 | 0.64628 |
| Daily Pivot | 0.64402 |
| S1 | 0.6411 |
| S2 | 0.63884 |
| S3 | 0.63592 |
#AUDUSD Trending on Twitter
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