EURUSD Analysis
| Performance after Tuesday | |||||
| Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
| Tuesday | 0.03% | 3.7 Pips |  |
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| Week to-date | 0.34% | 38.5 Pips | |
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| June | 0.77% | 87 Pips | |
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Upcoming key events (London Time)
Wed 01:30 PM USD CPI Inflation Rate (12-mth) Thu 01:30 PM USD PPI excluding Food and Energy sectors (12-mth)
What happened lately
In June 2025, the Sentix Economic Index for the Euro Area indicated a positive shift, increasing to 0.2 points from a previous -8.1 points in May. This improvement was recorded by Sentix GmbH, suggesting a potential stabilization or recovery in the economic outlook for the Eurozone. The index, often seen as a forward-looking indicator, implies some resurgence in economic sentiment among investors and analysts within the Eurozone, which could spur optimism about the region’s economic trajectory moving into the future.
Turning to the United States, significant economic data releases are scheduled, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) Inflation Rate and the Producer Price Index (PPI) excluding the Food and Energy sectors. These releases, categorized as high-impact events, are set for Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. The CPI data will likely offer insights into inflationary pressures faced by consumers, while the PPI will provide understanding into inflation at the wholesale level, excluding the volatile food and energy sectors. Both indicators are critical for shaping monetary policy expectations and could influence market movements depending on how they compare to expectations.
Regarding the EURUSD currency pair, it saw a minor rise of 0.03% to 1.14242, suggesting it is currently in a phase of consolidation. The recent increase in the Eurozone’s Sentix index might have provided some support to the euro, contributing to this slight appreciation against the US dollar. However, with key US economic data releases on the horizon, the EURUSD pair could experience heightened volatility. If US inflation data show significant changes, it might sway expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s future interest rate policies, thereby impacting the USD’s strength against the euro. Consequently, traders may closely monitor these releases for further guidance on the potential trajectory of EURUSD in the near term.
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What can we expect from EURUSD today?
EURUSD on Tuesday rose 0.03% to 1.14242. Price is above 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is rising.
Updated daily direction for EURUSD looks mixed as the pair is likely to consolidate above 1.13822 (S1).
Looking ahead today, to see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of last daily high of 1.14475 or trades above daily pivot 1.14148. Break above could target R1 at 1.14569. While to the downside, we are looking at 1.13822 (S1) and daily low of 1.13728 as support levels. EURUSD need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A break above 1.14475 may suggest continuation after recent positive movement.
For the week to-date, take note that EURUSD is mixed as compared to the prior week.
Key levels to watch out:
| R3 | 1.15316 |
| R2 | 1.14895 |
| R1 | 1.14569 |
| Daily Pivot | 1.14148 |
| S1 | 1.13822 |
| S2 | 1.13401 |
| S3 | 1.13075 |
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