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GBPUSD Analysis
| Performance after Thursday | |||||
| Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
| Thursday | -0.1% | -13 Pips | ![]() |
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| Week to-date | -0.58% | -79 Pips | ![]() |
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| July | -1.17% | -160 Pips | ![]() |
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Upcoming key events (London Time)
No major events for the day.
What happened lately
The recent report from the U.S. Department of Labor reveals a modest improvement in the labor market with the Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims decreasing to 227,000 in the week ending July 5th. This is a slight decline from the prior week’s revised figure of 232,000. Such a decrease in unemployment claims suggests a strengthening of the labor market, reflecting a more robust economy as fewer individuals are filing for unemployment benefits. This improvement can be seen as a positive indication of economic recovery and growth, as employers retain staff and potentially even increase hiring. With a steady reduction in jobless claims, it points to higher consumer confidence and potential increases in consumer spending which are critical components for economic expansion.
The impact on the GBPUSD currency pair from the U.S. labor data was somewhat neutral as it dropped marginally by 0.1% to 1.35730 in Thursday’s trading session. This slight decrease indicates that while the economic data was positive, it was not sufficient to spark significant movements in the currency markets. The pair’s consolidation exhibits a balance of gains and losses, with traders seemingly taking a cautious stance, possibly in anticipation of further economic data or developments. Since there are no major events scheduled for the day, the market’s reaction suggests that short-term fluctuations might be minimal unless unexpected news surfaces. However, improving U.S. economic conditions often bolster the USD against the GBP, potentially exerting further downward pressure on GBPUSD in the medium term if this trend continues. As always, traders need to stay vigilant and consider broader economic indicators and geopolitical factors that might influence market sentiments.
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What can we expect from GBPUSD today?
GBPUSD on Thursday dropped -0.1% to 1.35730. Price is below 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is rising.
Updated daily direction for GBPUSD looks mixed as the pair is likely to consolidate above 1.3529 (S1).
Looking ahead today, to see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of last daily high of 1.36190 or trades above daily pivot 1.3574. Break above could target R1 at 1.3618. While to the downside, we are looking at 1.3529 (S1) and daily low of 1.35300 as support levels. GBPUSD need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A close below 1.35300 would indicate selling pressure.
For the week to-date, take note that GBPUSD is mixed as compared to the prior week.
Key levels to watch out:
| R3 | 1.3707 |
| R2 | 1.3663 |
| R1 | 1.3618 |
| Daily Pivot | 1.3574 |
| S1 | 1.3529 |
| S2 | 1.3485 |
| S3 | 1.344 |
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